I recently got into an argument about the film The Sorcerer’s Apprentice. This person felt that he must be smarter than every Hollywood executive because he could tell from the commercial that this film was going to suck. If it was so clear to him, why wasn’t it clear to them?
I explained to him that the decision to make this film was probably made about two years ago in 2008. What was going on in 2008 that might have affected their decision? In 2007 Disney finished their Pirates of the Caribbean trilogy (so we thought) which averaged $346,049,154 domestically. Also, in 2007, Disney had a successful run with National Treasure: The Book of Secrets which brought in $219,961,501 domestically.
Combined, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End and National Treasure: The Book of Secrets represented $529,381,926 or 37% of Disney’s domestic box office for 2007. In 2008, Disney’s domestic box office without those movies was $468,510,718 less than the year before.
Disney needed another franchise. If you were an executive and had a project in development that included the producer of Pirates of the Caribbean (Jerry Bruckheimer) and the star of National Treasure (Nicholas Cage) what would you do? You’d probably greenlight The Sorcerer’s Apprentice too.
Usually, there are some sound business reasons why decisions are made. I wanted to see what they saw; to test my own prognostication skills. Also, I wanted to express opinions based on as little information as possible so I can more easily be mistaken for a Hollywood player.
This isn’t so much a ‘best of’ as much as it is a ‘most anticipated’ list. Either way, I make a bold prediction that some (if not all) will turn up on critic’s top ten lists at the end of the year.
Some are no brainers (I’m looking at you, Harry Potter) but I wanted to include some dark horse contenders just for fun. Check back this time next year and let’s compare notes.
In no particular order:
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (imdb rank 512). Directed by David Fincher, Written by Steve Zaillion. A journalist is aided in his search for a woman who has been missing — or dead — for forty years by a young female hacker.
Based on the best selling book. The one two punch of Fincher and Zaillion is hard to resist.
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (imdb rank 985). Directed by Steven Spielberg, Written by Steven Moffat, Edgar Wright, Joe Cornish. Tintin and his friends discover directions to a sunken ship commanded by Capt. Haddock’s ancestor and go off on a treasure hunt.
Based on the popular cartoon. Some people love Tintin (but they’re mostly in Europe). Two writers are TV writers. One writer co-wrote and directed Scott Pilgrim vs. the World.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 (imdb rank 100). Directed by David Yates, Written by Steve Kloves. The end begins as Harry, Ron, and Hermione go back to Hogwarts to find and destroy Voldemorts final horcruxes.
Based on the best selling book. Will probably do as well in the awards as the last installment of Lord of the Rings.
Cowboys & Aliens (imdb rank 177). Directed by Jon Favreau, Written by Roberto Orci, Alex Kurtzman and Damon Lindelof. A spaceship arrives in Arizona, 1873, to take over the Earth, starting with the Wild West region. A posse of cowboys are all that stand in their way.
Based on the popular comic book. The creative team knows how to make crowd pleasers. This time they get a chance to show off their subversive side.
Jane Eyre (imdb rank 836). Directed by Cary Fukunaga, Written by Moira Buffini. A mousy governess who softens the heart of her employer soon discovers that he’s hiding a terrible secret.
Based on the classic novel. Apparently they’ve beaten Jane Austin to death and moved on to another target. Mia Wasikowska has been a standout in everything she’s been in.
On the Road (imdb rank 563). Directed by Walter Salles, Written by Jose Rivera. A young man sets out to travel the roads and railways of America.
Based on the autobiographical novel. Today’s version of the brat pack breaking out of their dark sullen teenage roles by expanding into dark sullen young adult roles.
Moneyball (imdb rank 1363). Directed by Bennett Miller, Written by Stan Chervin, Stephen J. Rivele, Aaron Sorkin, Christopher Wilkinson, Steven Zaillian. The story of Oakland A’s general manager Billy Beane’s successful attempt to put together a baseball club on a budget by employing computer-generated analysis to draft his players.
Based on the best selling… oy. Brad Pitt is back playing the scrappy charmer Billy Beane. With Sorkin and Zaillion in the mix as screenwriters there’s probably more than a handful of memorable scenes.
The Ides of March (imdb rank 2508). Directed by George Clooney, Written by George Clooney, Grant Heslov. An idealistic staffer for a newbie presidential candidate gets a crash course on dirty politics during his stint on the campaign trail.
Based on the play Farragut North by Beau Willimon. I’m always hopeful for movies that began life as a legit play. The screenplay was on 2007′s Black List. Ryan Gosling is a perennial awards favorite. Clooney has earned some respect and good will over the years (The Men Who Stare at Goats notwithstanding).
Margin Call (imdb rank 3495). Directed by J.C. Chandor, Written by Robert Ogden Barnum. A thriller that revolves around the key people at a investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey leads an all star cast in a story that asks, “What the hell happened to all my money?!”
My Week with Marilyn (imdb rank 1824). Directed by Simon Curtis, Written by Adrian Hodges. Colin Clark, an employee of Sir Laurence Olivier’s, documents the tense interaction between Olivier and Marilyn Monroe during production of The Prince and the Showgirl.
Adrian Hodges has a long resume of British television under his belt. Michelle Williams play the title character in a cast that boasts some heavyweight Brits (Derek Jacobi, Judi Dench, Zoë Wanamaker, Kenneth Branagh and Emma Watson).
Margaret (imdb rank 2601). Written and Directed by Kenneth Lonergan. A young woman witnesses a bus accident, and is caught up in the aftermath, where the question of whether or not it was intentional affects many people’s lives.
Lonergan’s follow up to 2000′s You Can Count on Me which he also wrote and directed. Cast with many indie favorites such as Mark Ruffalo, Allison Janney along with Matt Damon, Anna Paquin and Jean Reno.
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What I noticed: A lot of films were based on existing books and properties. I wonder if we made the same complaint back in the day when Hollywood mined Broadway for scripts. Something like, “Hollywood has run out of ideas, they keep stealing from Broadway.”
There seems to be a quantifiable difference between heavyweight British actors and American movie stars.
Star power still seems to outgun high concept.
As much as I tried to be objective, I found my own opinions and tastes intruding on the choices.